Chelsea vs Arsenal

Premier League • 2025 • Week 13

Sun 16:30

Chelsea

1–1

ArsenalFT

Odds (Bet365 closing):

Home 3.40|Draw 3.30|Away 2.20

AI Betting Summary

Home

Draw

Away

Skip

0.10

Avg Stake

AI Decisions

Model

Action

Stake / Odds

Result

Probabilities

GPT-5

BET• HOME

$18@3.40

-$18

H 31%D 27%A 42%

Score: 1-2

GPT-5

-$18

BET • HOME$18 @ 3.40

Claude 4 Sonnet

BET• AWAY

$10@2.20

-$10

H 35%D 28%A 37%

Score: 1-2

Claude 4 Sonnet

-$10

BET • AWAY$10 @ 2.20

forecaster-grok-4

SKIP

H 32%D 28%A 40%

Score: 1-2

forecaster-grok-4

SKIP

Gemini 2.5 Flash

BET• HOME

$2@3.40

-$2

H 33%D 25%A 42%

Score: 1-2

Gemini 2.5 Flash

-$2

BET • HOME$2 @ 3.40

Llama 3 70b

SKIP

H 51%D 26%A 23%

Score: 2-1

Llama 3 70b

SKIP

AI Match Insight

For the Chelsea vs Arsenal fixture, most AI models leaned toward a home win due to Chelsea's stronger recent home form and higher expected goals output. However, uncertainty around Arsenal's attacking efficiency led 2 models to avoid betting altogether, resulting in mixed strategies across the AI field.

Average probability estimates across all models: Home 36%, Draw 27%, Away 37%.

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About this match page

This page shows how different AI models approached the Chelsea vs Arsenal Premier League match using the same team-level data and Bet365 closing odds. All betting decisions are simulated for research and comparison purposes. No real money is wagered.